Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 13.337718 15.528013 17.908676 20.681225 23.813865 27.235959 31.249184
2025-10-26 9.506646 12.470791 16.020921 20.550259 26.135701 32.756120 41.150880
2025-11-02 7.189575 10.394066 14.542299 20.224670 27.713081 37.142015 49.793662
2025-11-09 5.618826 8.842832 13.305130 19.794773 28.828169 40.772010 57.535068
2025-11-16 4.471808 7.607342 12.218127 19.289721 29.614347 43.849881 64.603932
2025-11-23 3.538219 6.487889 11.082644 18.488627 29.786710 45.967998 70.376451
2025-11-30 3.128683 6.110821 10.984380 19.166188 32.098457 51.190768 80.775933
2025-12-07 2.789807 5.784233 10.902600 19.824664 34.390805 56.492449 91.575907
2025-12-14 2.331798 5.157335 10.224891 19.416381 34.937999 59.165683 98.585331
2025-12-21 1.938696 4.574584 9.532602 18.881372 35.192000 61.349541 104.917039
2025-12-28 1.793935 4.456757 9.656970 19.763273 37.844216 67.446277 117.633828
2026-01-04 1.637822 4.285579 9.653732 20.402512 40.111712 73.033919 129.815435
2026-01-11 1.421741 3.961745 9.348315 20.522937 41.613916 77.678708 141.127911
2026-01-18 1.227436 3.651266 9.034423 20.610481 43.102123 82.468181 153.097715
2026-01-25 1.032940 3.293261 8.562281 20.322071 43.859288 86.040642 163.233067
2026-02-01 0.861180 2.948353 8.058701 19.896970 44.298454 89.055488 172.556813
2026-02-08 0.713330 2.627080 7.551469 19.390811 44.513552 91.652554 181.263411
2026-02-15 0.575093 2.291399 6.947339 18.586302 44.039442 92.928156 187.664711
2026-02-22 0.527991 2.224580 7.000692 19.266957 46.652527 100.097543 205.017736
2026-03-01 0.484720 2.158547 7.044975 19.928398 49.271452 107.418221 222.993587
2026-03-08 0.406201 1.946192 6.660354 19.518283 49.561165 110.263330 232.828149
2026-03-15 0.335937 1.738252 6.247416 18.980864 49.514110 112.426685 241.468802
2026-03-22 0.317029 1.723935 6.392071 19.866733 52.706258 121.200837 263.069457